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Oz is NOT America -- the Electorate is not so Stupid
by baz Sunday, Jun 16 2013, 10:08am
international / prose / post

The calamitous saga that is the Oz Labor Party is fast approaching its inevitable conclusion/fate, to be -- for a host of very good reasons -- cast into the political wilderness for decades.

Juliar Gillard

Oz mainstream media outlets have been regurgitating the same disastrous material for a week; Gillard's supremely ill-advised gender wars predictably backfired, as approximately half the electorate is male, Doh! It reminds us of Gillard's other sideshow shuffle -- her education reform amounts to ripping funds from the tertiary education sector and funneling them into the schools sector, not very practical or a convincing reform. But her most treasonous and disastrous action was to sign off on FIVE full scale (including nuclear weaponry) US military bases of occupation in one fell swoop! This outrageously supine action, which was not debated in parliament or the mass media, makes Oz a PRIMARY NUCLEAR TARGET in the event of a US instigated conflict with China -- and this selfish, INSULAR BITCH refuses to step down and save some of her Labor colleagues from certain annihilation!

But we needn't go into detailed specifics; to list Gillard's ineptitudes would be an almost endless process -- it is enough to know that she is the most REVILED politician in Australian history. She blatantly LIED about implementing a carbon tax and stabbed the ENTIRE electorate in the back, in exactly the same way she dispatched sitting PM, Rudd! Such arrogant, BRAZEN DECEIT and TREACHERY has not been seen in Australian politics before. Oz culture is averse to such vulgar treachery, the woman is thoroughly DESPISED by the electorate for her INSULAR and treacherous character. The culture simply does not tolerate such actions and is unforgiving of any fool that imagines they could getaway with such a demeaning and insulting action.

Never has Oz seen a more TOXIC and unpopular politician than Gillard -- everything she touches turns to shit -- no exceptions. And Labor Party fools that support her do it at extreme cost, the Oz people do not forget such treachery easily -- keep an eye on the fortunes of 'golden-haired boy', Bill Shorten, who, like Tony Peacock, thinks he is a certainty for PM. Well, think again Bill, your misplaced support for Gillard has dashed all hope for future high office, be assured. And it's just as well, as only an idiot or an incompetent clown would board the Titanic as it is sinking!

Media report follows:

Men in revolt against Gillard
by Phillip Coorey, AFR

Julia Gillard’s reigniting of the gender wars has imploded with male voters abandoning Labor, causing a crash in overall support for both the government and the Prime Minister’s personal standing.

The latest The Australian Financial Review/Nielsen poll also shows Labor would fare much better if it replaced Ms Gillard with Kevin Rudd but would be unlikely to win the election.

Since the last poll a month ago, Labor’s primary vote has slipped 3 percentage points to 29 per cent and the Coalition’s has risen 3 points to 47 per cent, giving the Coalition a two-party preferred lead over Labor of 57 per cent to 43 per cent.

Labor’s decline is caused exclusively by a big fall in the male vote. Among men, Labor’s primary vote fell 7 points from 31 per cent to 24 per cent and its two-party preferred vote fell 10 points from 47 per cent to 37 per cent. Labor’s female vote stayed statistically steady, meaning the gender push lost men but had no immediate affect in attracting extra women voters.

If the result was replicated on election day, there would be a 7-point swing to the Coalition, costing Labor about 30 House of Representatives seats. The poll, which sampled 1400 voters from Thursday to Saturday, shows if Labor replaced Ms Gillard with Mr Rudd, its primary vote would jump 11 points to 40 per cent and the Coalition’s would fall 5 points to 42 per cent.

This would give each party a two-party preferred vote of 50 per cent apiece, no change from the 50-50 tie at the last election, which produced a hung Parliament.

Rudd unlikely to win election

Nielsen poll director John Stirton said a hung Parliament was the best-case scenario for Labor with Mr Rudd as leader. “This assumes a perfectly smooth transition from Ms Gillard to Mr Rudd, a supportive party united behind Mr Rudd and a honeymoon that continues until election day,’’ he said.

“It’s a magical scenario. More realistically, Mr Rudd would probably retain more seats than Ms Gillard but he would be unlikely to retain government on these numbers.’’

When the scenario was last polled in September, Labor under Mr Rudd led the Coalition on a two-party basis by 53 per cent to 47 per cent.

In this poll, Mr Rudd leads Ms Gillard as preferred Labor leader by 58 per cent to 32 per cent , a narrowing of 5 points since the question was asked in March.

The poll’s findings will be further grist for a restive Labor caucus that is once more debating whether to replace Ms Gillard with Mr Rudd before Parliament rises at the end of next week ahead of the September 14 election.

The poll was taken in the aftermath of last week’s tumultuous events in which Ms Gillard restarted the gender wars on Tuesday with a speech to a Women for Gillard campaign launch. Ms Gillard said if she were beaten, men in blue ties would again be running the country and abortion would become the political plaything for men. The next day, Ms Gillard’s claims were underscored with revelations of a menu containing offensive references to her anatomy. The menu was associated with a March 28 Coalition fund-raiser in Brisbane.

And on Thursday, Perth shock jock Howard Sattler peppered Ms Gillard with offensive questions about the sexuality of her partner. Mr Sattler was sacked on Friday.

But the poll shows the Prime Minister has not won sympathy votes for these events, while her renewed gender war has not only hurt Labor badly but her own standing as well.

PM’s worst figures since June 2012

Ms Gillard’s approval rating fell 4 points to 36 per cent and disapproval rating shot up 5 points to 61 per cent, giving the Prime Minister her worst set of figures since June last year.

Mr Abbott’s approval rating rose 2 points to 44 per cent and his disapproval rating was down a point to 53 per cent. These are his best figures since May 2012.

Equally alarming for Ms Gillard is that Mr Abbott stretched his lead as preferred prime minister by 9 points. After a 46-46 tie between the pair last month, Mr Abbott now leads as preferred prime minister by 50 per cent to 41 per cent, giving the Opposition Leader his biggest lead in this category since July 2011.

Again, a plunge in the male vote was the primary cause for Ms Gillard’s decline. In terms of her approval rating, the male vote fell from 36 per cent a month ago to 28 per cent in this poll. Approval among women was unchanged at 43 per cent.

Parliament resumes on Monday for the final sitting fortnight scheduled before the election.

Some ministers and MPs who have stuck with Ms Gillard through thick and thin have now softened their position and will not stand in the way should somebody try to effect a leadership change. Others are remaining resolute in support for the Prime Minister.

The School Education Minister Peter Garrett, who is working hard to secure the support of remaining states for the Gonski school funding reforms before the June 30 deadline, reaffirmed on Sunday that he would resign from the ministry should Mr Rudd return to the leadership.

“That’s what I’ve said before and my position hasn’t changed,’’ Mr Garrett said. He acknowledged the speculation was real.

Swan refuses to abandon Gillard

“I know that people are obviously having discussions which are reported in the paper. But for me, the key thing for us to do is firstly support our leader, who is delivering substantial and really important reform Australia-wide.’’

Treasurer Wayne Swan, another minister who will not abandon Ms Gillard, sought to pre-empt the rush of polls expected to be published over this fortnight.

“The fact is that people are not interested in opinion polls. They are not interested in commentators commenting on the commentators commenting on the politicians commenting on the opinion polls,’’ he said.

He said it was disrespectful to voters to be forecasting election outcomes “based on a poll which may or may not have some rigour’’.

But one senior Labor MP pushing for change said there was now clearly movement in the caucus but still no mechanism.

Ms Gillard has telegraphed that she has no intention of standing down, even if tapped by a delegation, while Mr Rudd has similarly indicated he will not challenge Ms Gillard’s leadership, though he would be drafted if there was an overwhelming majority of the caucus.

The sources said Mr Rudd may have no choice.

If a delegation was to visit Ms Gillard and tell her she had lost support of her colleagues and she refused to go, then it would be incumbent on Mr Rudd to contest a ballot, he said.

“Something’s got to give.’’

© 2013 Fairfax Media Publications Pty Ltd

http://www.afr.com/p/national/men_in_revolt_against_gillard_4r88VPDlIdnq2pDnTaAsPI